Megaprojects in the 10GW range built around “anchor tenant” led
development consortia will be needed to make offshore wind a global mainstream
energy source, according to Shell New Energies executive vice-president, Mark
Gainsborough.
The oil supermajor believes this model — adopted from the retail
sector where a prestige brand store is given lower rent to attract other
tenants — will be a better means of accelerating and upscaling the build-out of
offshore wind farms than the current tender model being employed in certain
European countries, which are driven by 2030 national targets.
“Shell believes that instead of organising the next tranche of
leases and tenders simply on the basis of meeting national targets in 2030, we
would propose that the next phase be thought of as a stepping stone, a
de-risking exercise, towards a much bigger offshore wind industry that operates
at the scale of the potential resource,” Gainsborough told OWE 2017.
“We believe that a few large, integrated projects up to 10GW, with
an anchor tenant who takes the biggest risk for about half the project, need to
be developed to ensure we all learn how best to do this.
“Think of the cost savings that could be achieved by constructing
several hundred wind turbines continuously, like an offshore assembly line.”
According to Gainsborough, upscaling development would lower cost,
create value across the supply chain, and stimulate economic growth.
Shell, which has plans to earmark around $1bn a year for
investment in renewable energy sources from 2020, is in the early stages of
diversifying its portfolio. In the US, the group is a 50-50 joint venture
partner in six operating onshore wind projects, and in Europe, in the
Netherlands, together with Mitsubishi, Eneco and Van Oord, it won the 700MW
Borssele 3&4 offshore tender in last year.
“A cleaner energy future is both desirable and possible... but
this will require action in all sectors of the energy system, and will require
scaling up opportunities. Long-term integrated policies on climate, energy and
economy will be necessary, along with a power market that sends the right investment
signals,” he says.
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